Indicator notes

Pressure on the Russian rouble on October 6, 2026: 58.0 out of 100, in the “High pressure” zone. The previous reading, on October 3, 2026, was 50.6 (“Moderate pressure”): the indicator rose by 7.4 points and crossed the 55 boundary. The “High pressure” zone covers readings from 55 to 75: pressure on the currency is clearly above usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Moderate pressure” zone for 12 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 35.0 versus 17.4 and “Currency weakening” at 91.2 versus 79.1. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on September 18, 2026: 52.7 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. The previous reading, on September 17, 2026, was 57.9 (“High pressure”): the indicator fell by 5.2 points and crossed the 55 boundary. The “Moderate pressure” zone covers readings from 45 to 55: pressure on the currency is close to what is usual for its history. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “High pressure” zone for 63 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 43.0 versus 57.9 and “International reserves” at 19.3 versus 27.5. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on June 23, 2026: 57.3 out of 100, in the “High pressure” zone. The previous reading, on June 20, 2026, was 53.3 (“Moderate pressure”): the indicator rose by 4.0 points and crossed the 55 boundary. The “High pressure” zone covers readings from 55 to 75: pressure on the currency is clearly above usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Moderate pressure” zone for 10 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Central bank policy rate” at 46.5 versus 34.3 and “Currency weakening” at 39.5 versus 35.0. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on June 6, 2026: 54.4 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. The previous reading, on June 5, 2026, was 55.9 (“High pressure”): the indicator fell slightly by 1.5 points and crossed the 55 boundary. The “Moderate pressure” zone covers readings from 45 to 55: pressure on the currency is close to what is usual for its history. The indicator spent a single trading day in the “High pressure” zone. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 31.8 versus 38.8 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 52.7 versus 51.7. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on June 5, 2026: 55.9 out of 100, in the “High pressure” zone. The previous reading, on June 4, 2026, was 52.0 (“Moderate pressure”): the indicator rose by 3.9 points and crossed the 55 boundary. The “High pressure” zone covers readings from 55 to 75: pressure on the currency is clearly above usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Moderate pressure” zone for 5 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 38.8 versus 29.9 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 51.7 versus 46.2. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on May 29, 2026: 46.0 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. The previous reading, on May 28, 2026, was 43.2 (“Low pressure”): the indicator rose by 2.8 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Moderate pressure” zone covers readings from 45 to 55: pressure on the currency is close to what is usual for its history. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Low pressure” zone for 2 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 31.4 versus 25.4 and “International reserves” at 98.9 versus 94.9. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on May 27, 2026: 43.3 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on May 26, 2026, was 45.2 (“Moderate pressure”): the indicator fell slightly by 1.9 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. The indicator spent a single trading day in the “Moderate pressure” zone. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 24.3 versus 32.5 and “Currency weakening” at 21.3 versus 20.5. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on May 26, 2026: 45.2 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. The previous reading, on May 23, 2026, was 44.0 (“Low pressure”): the indicator rose slightly by 1.2 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Moderate pressure” zone covers readings from 45 to 55: pressure on the currency is close to what is usual for its history. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Low pressure” zone for 3 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 32.5 versus 29.0 and “Currency weakening” at 20.5 versus 19.5. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on May 21, 2026: 44.3 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on May 20, 2026, was 45.2 (“Moderate pressure”): the indicator fell slightly by 0.9 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. The indicator spent a single trading day in the “Moderate pressure” zone. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 31.6 versus 34.6 and “Currency weakening” at 18.4 versus 18.9. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on May 20, 2026: 45.2 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. The previous reading, on May 19, 2026, was 43.6 (“Low pressure”): the indicator rose slightly by 1.6 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Moderate pressure” zone covers readings from 45 to 55: pressure on the currency is close to what is usual for its history. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Low pressure” zone for 6 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 34.6 versus 26.3 and “Currency weakening” at 18.9 versus 20.7. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on May 9, 2026: 44.8 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on May 8, 2026, was 45.3 (“Moderate pressure”): the indicator fell slightly by 0.5 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Moderate pressure” zone for 6 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 25.1 versus 26.9 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 39.0 versus 39.2. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on April 30, 2026: 45.1 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. The previous reading, on April 29, 2026, was 44.6 (“Low pressure”): the indicator rose slightly by 0.5 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Moderate pressure” zone covers readings from 45 to 55: pressure on the currency is close to what is usual for its history. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Low pressure” zone for 2 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 26.9 versus 25.7 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 39.4 versus 38.6. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on April 28, 2026: 44.8 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on April 25, 2026, was 48.9 (“Moderate pressure”): the indicator fell by 4.1 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Moderate pressure” zone for 7 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Central bank policy rate” at 16.4 versus 29.4 and “Currency weakening” at 26.1 versus 29.6. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on April 17, 2026: 53.6 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. The previous reading, on April 16, 2026, was 55.9 (“High pressure”): the indicator fell by 2.3 points and crossed the 55 boundary. The “Moderate pressure” zone covers readings from 45 to 55: pressure on the currency is close to what is usual for its history. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “High pressure” zone for 15 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 54.9 versus 69.8 and “Currency weakening” at 31.8 versus 25.7. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on March 27, 2026: 64.0 out of 100, in the “High pressure” zone. The previous reading, on March 26, 2026, was 51.3 (“Moderate pressure”): the indicator rose sharply by 12.7 points and crossed the 55 boundary. The “High pressure” zone covers readings from 55 to 75: pressure on the currency is clearly above usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Moderate pressure” zone for 6 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “International reserves” at 67.2 versus 27.5 and “Currency weakening” at 82.5 versus 73.3. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on March 19, 2026: 45.4 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. The previous reading, on March 18, 2026, was 44.4 (“Low pressure”): the indicator rose slightly by 1.0 point and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Moderate pressure” zone covers readings from 45 to 55: pressure on the currency is close to what is usual for its history. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Low pressure” zone for 8 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 85.2 versus 81.6 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 41.0 versus 40.6. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on March 6, 2026: 25.3 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on March 5, 2026, was 24.6 (“Calm”): the indicator rose slightly by 0.7 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Calm” zone for 2 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 48.2 versus 43.8 and “International reserves” at 1.1 versus 4.9. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on March 4, 2026: 23.9 out of 100, in the “Calm” zone. The previous reading, on March 3, 2026, was 25.9 (“Low pressure”): the indicator fell by 2.0 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Calm” zone covers readings from 0 to 25: there is almost no sign of pressure on the currency. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Low pressure” zone for 3 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 22.6 versus 37.2 and “Currency weakening” at 42.4 versus 36.0. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on February 27, 2026: 26.0 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on February 26, 2026, was 22.9 (“Calm”): the indicator rose by 3.1 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Calm” zone for 4 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 34.4 versus 28.3 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 39.9 versus 36.7. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on February 20, 2026: 23.6 out of 100, in the “Calm” zone. The previous reading, on February 19, 2026, was 25.8 (“Low pressure”): the indicator fell by 2.2 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Calm” zone covers readings from 0 to 25: there is almost no sign of pressure on the currency. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Low pressure” zone for 13 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 39.8 versus 49.1 and “Currency weakening” at 28.5 versus 26.1. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on February 3, 2026: 28.3 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on January 31, 2026, was 24.2 (“Calm”): the indicator rose by 4.1 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. The indicator spent a single trading day in the “Calm” zone. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 49.5 versus 40.4 and “Currency weakening” at 30.1 versus 23.1. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on January 31, 2026: 24.2 out of 100, in the “Calm” zone. The previous reading, on January 30, 2026, was 25.1 (“Low pressure”): the indicator fell slightly by 0.9 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Calm” zone covers readings from 0 to 25: there is almost no sign of pressure on the currency. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Low pressure” zone for 13 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 23.1 versus 25.7 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 40.4 versus 41.4. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on January 14, 2026: 43.6 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on January 13, 2026, was 45.5 (“Moderate pressure”): the indicator fell slightly by 1.9 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 67.0 versus 75.1 and “Currency weakening” at 46.3 versus 46.1. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on December 23, 2025: 43.9 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on December 20, 2025, was 45.8 (“Moderate pressure”): the indicator fell slightly by 1.9 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Moderate pressure” zone for 3 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 50.7 versus 63.6 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 69.5 versus 60.4. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on December 18, 2025: 47.9 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. The previous reading, on December 17, 2025, was 44.0 (“Low pressure”): the indicator rose by 3.9 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Moderate pressure” zone covers readings from 45 to 55: pressure on the currency is close to what is usual for its history. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Low pressure” zone for 7 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 61.0 versus 52.6 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 72.3 versus 65.4. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on December 12, 2025: 41.5 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on December 11, 2025, was 30.2: the indicator rose sharply by 11.3 points. That meets our shift threshold of 10 points; the zone did not change. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. The indicator has now spent 4 trading days in a row in this zone. Biggest component moves: “International reserves” at 31.3 versus 7.6 and “Currency weakening” at 52.4 versus 36.7. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on December 9, 2025: 27.3 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on December 6, 2025, was 23.1 (“Calm”): the indicator rose by 4.2 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Calm” zone for 2 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 54.5 versus 43.9 and “Currency weakening” at 31.4 versus 25.3. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on December 5, 2025: 23.3 out of 100, in the “Calm” zone. The previous reading, on December 4, 2025, was 25.3 (“Low pressure”): the indicator fell by 2.0 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Calm” zone covers readings from 0 to 25: there is almost no sign of pressure on the currency. The indicator spent a single trading day in the “Low pressure” zone. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 29.3 versus 36.6 and “International reserves” at 7.2 versus 12.2. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on December 4, 2025: 25.3 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on December 3, 2025, was 23.9 (“Calm”): the indicator rose slightly by 1.4 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Calm” zone for 2 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 36.6 versus 32.8 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 37.0 versus 35.1. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Russian rouble on December 2, 2025: 24.3 out of 100, in the “Calm” zone. The previous reading, on November 29, 2025, was 25.9 (“Low pressure”): the indicator fell slightly by 1.6 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Calm” zone covers readings from 0 to 25: there is almost no sign of pressure on the currency. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Low pressure” zone for 13 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 34.6 versus 40.0 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 35.0 versus 36.4. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.