Indicator notes

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on May 16, 2025: 54.3 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. The previous reading, on May 15, 2025, was 55.2 (“High pressure”): the indicator fell slightly by 0.9 points and crossed the 55 boundary. The “Moderate pressure” zone covers readings from 45 to 55: pressure on the currency is close to what is usual for its history. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “High pressure” zone for 25 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 94.3 versus 98.3 and “Currency weakening” at 4.3 versus 4.1. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on April 5, 2025: 56.1 out of 100, in the “High pressure” zone. The previous reading, on April 4, 2025, was 44.7 (“Low pressure”): the indicator rose sharply by 11.4 points and crossed the 45 and 55 boundaries. The “High pressure” zone covers readings from 55 to 75: pressure on the currency is clearly above usual. The indicator spent a single trading day in the “Low pressure” zone. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 91.2 versus 42.5 and “Currency weakening” at 0.1 versus 3.2. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on April 4, 2025: 44.7 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on April 3, 2025, was 57.0 (“High pressure”): the indicator fell sharply by 12.3 points and crossed the 55 and 45 boundaries. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “High pressure” zone for 23 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 42.5 versus 80.0 and “Currency weakening” at 3.2 versus 14.7. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on March 4, 2025: 68.0 out of 100, in the “High pressure” zone. The previous reading, on March 1, 2025, was 78.7 (“Extreme pressure”): the indicator fell sharply by 10.7 points and crossed the 75 boundary. The “High pressure” zone covers readings from 55 to 75: pressure on the currency is clearly above usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Extreme pressure” zone for 4 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 49.1 versus 88.8 and “Currency weakening” at 78.7 versus 81.8. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on February 26, 2025: 75.6 out of 100, in the “Extreme pressure” zone. The previous reading, on February 25, 2025, was 74.6 (“High pressure”): the indicator rose slightly by 1.0 point and crossed the 75 boundary. The “Extreme pressure” zone covers readings from 75 to 100: pressure on the currency is close to the highest in its history. The indicator spent a single trading day in the “High pressure” zone. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 76.3 versus 73.9 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 82.2 versus 80.3. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on February 25, 2025: 74.6 out of 100, in the “High pressure” zone. The previous reading, on February 22, 2025, was 75.0 (“Extreme pressure”): the indicator fell slightly by 0.4 points and crossed the 75 boundary. The “High pressure” zone covers readings from 55 to 75: pressure on the currency is clearly above usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Extreme pressure” zone for 2 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 73.9 versus 75.8 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 80.3 versus 80.1. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on February 21, 2025: 75.7 out of 100, in the “Extreme pressure” zone. The previous reading, on February 20, 2025, was 74.9 (“High pressure”): the indicator rose slightly by 0.8 points and crossed the 75 boundary. The “Extreme pressure” zone covers readings from 75 to 100: pressure on the currency is close to the highest in its history. The indicator spent a single trading day in the “High pressure” zone. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 80.9 versus 79.3 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 77.7 versus 76.2. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on February 20, 2025: 74.9 out of 100, in the “High pressure” zone. The previous reading, on February 19, 2025, was 75.4 (“Extreme pressure”): the indicator fell slightly by 0.5 points and crossed the 75 boundary. The “High pressure” zone covers readings from 55 to 75: pressure on the currency is clearly above usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Extreme pressure” zone for 12 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 76.2 versus 77.9 and “Currency weakening” at 79.3 versus 79.6. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on February 4, 2025: 81.9 out of 100, in the “Extreme pressure” zone. The previous reading, on February 1, 2025, was 71.5 (“High pressure”): the indicator rose sharply by 10.4 points and crossed the 75 boundary. The “Extreme pressure” zone covers readings from 75 to 100: pressure on the currency is close to the highest in its history. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “High pressure” zone for 3 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 87.3 versus 50.6 and “Currency weakening” at 98.3 versus 93.4. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on January 30, 2025: 71.0 out of 100, in the “High pressure” zone. The previous reading, on January 29, 2025, was 76.0 (“Extreme pressure”): the indicator fell by 5.0 points and crossed the 75 boundary. The “High pressure” zone covers readings from 55 to 75: pressure on the currency is clearly above usual. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 52.4 versus 72.0 and “Currency weakening” at 89.7 versus 89.8. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on December 27, 2024: 71.3 out of 100, in the “High pressure” zone. The previous reading, on December 26, 2024, was 75.7 (“Extreme pressure”): the indicator fell by 4.4 points and crossed the 75 boundary. The “High pressure” zone covers readings from 55 to 75: pressure on the currency is clearly above usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Extreme pressure” zone for 2 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 57.6 versus 74.8 and “Currency weakening” at 98.8 versus 99.0. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on December 25, 2024: 75.7 out of 100, in the “Extreme pressure” zone. The previous reading, on December 24, 2024, was 74.6 (“High pressure”): the indicator rose slightly by 1.1 points and crossed the 75 boundary. The “Extreme pressure” zone covers readings from 75 to 100: pressure on the currency is close to the highest in its history. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “High pressure” zone for 6 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 74.5 versus 70.7 and “Currency weakening” at 99.3 versus 98.5. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on December 20, 2024: 72.9 out of 100, in the “High pressure” zone. The previous reading, on December 19, 2024, was 62.9: the indicator rose sharply by 10.0 points. That meets our shift threshold of 10 points; the zone did not change. The “High pressure” zone covers readings from 55 to 75: pressure on the currency is clearly above usual. The indicator has now spent 4 trading days in a row in this zone. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 62.4 versus 26.0 and “Currency weakening” at 99.9 versus 96.2. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on December 17, 2024: 64.7 out of 100, in the “High pressure” zone. The previous reading, on December 14, 2024, was 52.7 (“Moderate pressure”): the indicator rose sharply by 12.0 points and crossed the 55 boundary. The “High pressure” zone covers readings from 55 to 75: pressure on the currency is clearly above usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Moderate pressure” zone for 3 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “International reserves” at 86.5 versus 45.0 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 34.7 versus 24.8. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on December 12, 2024: 52.9 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. The previous reading, on December 11, 2024, was 44.8 (“Low pressure”): the indicator rose by 8.1 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Moderate pressure” zone covers readings from 45 to 55: pressure on the currency is close to what is usual for its history. The indicator spent a single trading day in the “Low pressure” zone. Biggest component moves: “Central bank policy rate” at 42.8 versus 15.8 and “Currency weakening” at 95.3 versus 91.4. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on December 11, 2024: 44.8 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on December 10, 2024, was 57.2 (“High pressure”): the indicator fell sharply by 12.4 points and crossed the 55 and 45 boundaries. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “High pressure” zone for 19 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 27.1 versus 74.0 and “Currency weakening” at 91.4 versus 94.1. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on November 14, 2024: 57.5 out of 100, in the “High pressure” zone. The previous reading, on November 13, 2024, was 50.1 (“Moderate pressure”): the indicator rose by 7.4 points and crossed the 55 boundary. The “High pressure” zone covers readings from 55 to 75: pressure on the currency is clearly above usual. The indicator spent a single trading day in the “Moderate pressure” zone. Biggest component moves: “International reserves” at 44.7 versus 15.4 and “Currency weakening” at 95.3 versus 95.0. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on November 13, 2024: 50.1 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. The previous reading, on November 12, 2024, was 35.2 (“Low pressure”): the indicator rose sharply by 14.9 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Moderate pressure” zone covers readings from 45 to 55: pressure on the currency is close to what is usual for its history. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Low pressure” zone for 4 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 75.7 versus 27.4 and “Currency weakening” at 95.0 versus 83.9. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on November 7, 2024: 34.9 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on November 6, 2024, was 23.7 (“Calm”): the indicator rose sharply by 11.2 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Calm” zone for 3 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 23.0 versus 0.6 and “Currency weakening” at 87.6 versus 65.2. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on November 2, 2024: 24.5 out of 100, in the “Calm” zone. The previous reading, on November 1, 2024, was 25.2 (“Low pressure”): the indicator fell slightly by 0.7 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Calm” zone covers readings from 0 to 25: there is almost no sign of pressure on the currency. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Low pressure” zone for 13 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 66.6 versus 70.3 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 2.7 versus 1.9. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on October 16, 2024: 26.2 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on October 15, 2024, was 24.2 (“Calm”): the indicator rose by 2.0 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Calm” zone for 2 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 62.1 versus 53.6 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 16.2 versus 16.9. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on October 12, 2024: 23.9 out of 100, in the “Calm” zone. The previous reading, on October 11, 2024, was 26.6 (“Low pressure”): the indicator fell by 2.7 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Calm” zone covers readings from 0 to 25: there is almost no sign of pressure on the currency. The indicator spent a single trading day in the “Low pressure” zone. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 17.8 versus 29.3 and “Currency weakening” at 49.0 versus 48.7. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on October 11, 2024: 26.6 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on October 10, 2024, was 23.8 (“Calm”): the indicator rose by 2.8 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Calm” zone for 42 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Currency weakening” at 48.7 versus 38.1 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 29.3 versus 29.0. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on August 14, 2024: 15.8 out of 100, in the “Calm” zone. The previous reading, on August 13, 2024, was 32.1 (“Low pressure”): the indicator fell sharply by 16.3 points and crossed the 25 boundary. The “Calm” zone covers readings from 0 to 25: there is almost no sign of pressure on the currency. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Low pressure” zone for 25 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “International reserves” at 25.1 versus 86.2 and “Currency weakening” at 11.5 versus 17.0. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on July 10, 2024: 33.2 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on July 9, 2024, was 49.7 (“Moderate pressure”): the indicator fell sharply by 16.5 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Moderate pressure” zone for 3 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 7.4 versus 56.7 and “Central bank policy rate” at 0.7 versus 0.6. 3 of 4 components were available. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on July 5, 2024: 47.1 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. The previous reading, on July 4, 2024, was 44.8 (“Low pressure”): the indicator rose by 2.3 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Moderate pressure” zone covers readings from 45 to 55: pressure on the currency is close to what is usual for its history. The indicator spent a single trading day in the “Low pressure” zone. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 49.0 versus 42.1 and “Central bank policy rate” at 0.3 versus 0.1. 3 of 4 components were available. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on July 4, 2024: 44.8 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on July 3, 2024, was 57.4 (“High pressure”): the indicator fell sharply by 12.6 points and crossed the 55 and 45 boundaries. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “High pressure” zone for 2 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Central bank policy rate” at 0.1 versus 24.5 and “Exchange rate volatility” at 42.1 versus 55.5. 3 of 4 components were available. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on July 2, 2024: 58.7 out of 100, in the “High pressure” zone. The previous reading, on June 29, 2024, was 52.8 (“Moderate pressure”): the indicator rose by 5.9 points and crossed the 55 boundary. The “High pressure” zone covers readings from 55 to 75: pressure on the currency is clearly above usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Moderate pressure” zone for 2 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 59.3 versus 41.7 and “International reserves” at 92.3 versus 92.4. 3 of 4 components were available. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on June 28, 2024: 54.5 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. The previous reading, on June 27, 2024, was 55.1 (“High pressure”): the indicator fell slightly by 0.6 points and crossed the 55 boundary. The “Moderate pressure” zone covers readings from 45 to 55: pressure on the currency is close to what is usual for its history. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “High pressure” zone for 12 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 46.7 versus 48.4 and “Central bank policy rate” at 24.3 versus 24.2. 3 of 4 components were available. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on June 11, 2024: 57.4 out of 100, in the “High pressure” zone. The previous reading, on June 8, 2024, was 42.4 (“Low pressure”): the indicator rose sharply by 15.0 points and crossed the 45 and 55 boundaries. The “High pressure” zone covers readings from 55 to 75: pressure on the currency is clearly above usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Low pressure” zone for 18 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “Exchange rate volatility” at 51.9 versus 6.7 and “Central bank policy rate” at 23.4 versus 23.3. 3 of 4 components were available. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.