Pressure on the Serbian dinar: today's value and history — TradeAlmanac

Pressure on the Serbian dinar

Name: Pressure on the Serbian dinar
Creator: TradeAlmanac

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on a 0 to 100 scale: the higher the value, the stronger the pressure — the currency weakens, the exchange rate becomes more volatile, the central bank raises its rate and reserves shrink.

53.5

Moderate pressure

as of 09 Oct 2026

Provisional value: the day is not closed yet and the final figure may change.

Pressure on the Serbian dinar — an indicator calculated by TradeAlmanac. As of 9 October 2026 its value is 53.5 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. Provisional value: the day is not closed yet and the final figure may change. Components — the volatility of the exchange rate against the US dollar, the deviation of the rate from its six-month average, the change in the central bank's policy rate over a quarter and the three-month change in international reserves. What it is measured on — Serbia: the official exchange rate of the national currency against the US dollar, the central bank's policy rate and international reserves. Updates — once a day, after the market closes. Methodology, version 1

History

Components

Exchange rate volatility

Volatility of the exchange rate against the US dollar over 20 rate-setting days

14.6

Weight 25 %

Currency weakening

The rate against the US dollar relative to its average over 125 rate-setting days

89.0

Weight 25 %

Central bank policy rate

The change in the central bank's policy rate over 91 days

55.4

Weight 25 %

International reserves

The three-month change in international reserves

Notes

03 Oct 2026

Pressure on the Serbian dinar: “Moderate pressure” zone

51.1Moderate pressure

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on October 3, 2026: 51.1 out of 100, in the “Moderate pressure” zone. The previous reading, on October 2, 2026, was 40.6 (“Low pressure”): the indicator rose sharply by 10.5 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Moderate pressure” zone covers readings from 45 to 55: pressure on the currency is close to what is usual for its history. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Low pressure” zone for 36 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “International reserves” at 55.7 versus 17.9 and “Currency weakening” at 88.8 versus 84.6. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

14 Aug 2026

Pressure on the Serbian dinar: “Low pressure” zone

44.1Low pressure

Pressure on the Serbian dinar on August 14, 2026: 44.1 out of 100, in the “Low pressure” zone. The previous reading, on August 13, 2026, was 50.7 (“Moderate pressure”): the indicator fell by 6.6 points and crossed the 45 boundary. The “Low pressure” zone covers readings from 25 to 45: pressure on the currency is weaker than usual. Before that the indicator had stayed in the “Moderate pressure” zone for 9 trading days in a row. Biggest component moves: “International reserves” at 45.9 versus 73.0 and “Currency weakening” at 65.1 versus 64.1. This describes that date's reading; it is not a forecast.

How the indicator works

Components: the volatility of the exchange rate against the US dollar, the deviation of the rate from its six-month average, the change in the central bank's policy rate over a quarter and the three-month change in international reserves
What it is measured on: Serbia: the official exchange rate of the national currency against the US dollar, the central bank's policy rate and international reserves
Updates: Once a day, after the market closes
When there is no value: If fewer than 3 of the 4 components are available, no value is published for the day.

Methodology, version 1 All indicators

The indicator reflects market statistics and does not constitute individual investment advice.